Election night 'cheat sheet'

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Maria Rae

Election Watch project officer
PhD student, School of Social and Political Sciences
University of Melbourne


WELCOME TO your official Election Watch guide!


Every Australian electorate is listed below. They're grouped by state, and then ordered by their margin (most marginal at the top, safest at the bottom).


Now you'll know which seats to watch as the results roll in on Saturday evening...

Electorate Sitting MP Challenger/s Status
Lindsay David Bradbury (ALP), 37, held seat since 2007. Has worked as republic campaign director, union worker, and Penrith Mayor. Currently Assistant Treasurer.
Fiona Scott (Lib) grew up working on family farm in Nepean Valley. Small business owner. TIGHT 1.1%
Greenway Michelle Rowland (ALP), 41, in seat since 2010. Was a lawyer abd deputy mayor of Blacktown. Jaymes Diaz (Lib) runs a legal practice and hopes to be first Filipino-Australian MP. Has been in the media spotlight for going blank on asylum seeker policy.
TIGHT 0.9%
Robertson Deborah O'Neill (ALP), 52, held seat since 2010. Was a teacher and lecturer.
Lucy Wicks (Lib) was a teacher before working in telecommunications.  TIGHT 1%
Dobell Craig Thomson (Ind), 49, since 2007. Former Labor MP who became an independent after his involvement in the Health Services Union scandal. Karen McNamara (LNP) works as the manager of the Fraud Investigations Branch at WorkCover NSW. Emma McBride (ALP) former Wyong Shire councillor and pharmacist.
TIGHT 5.1%
Banks Daryl Melham (ALP), 58, since 1990. Former barrister who held the opposition Aboriginal Affairs portfolio between 1996 and 2000
David Coleman (LNP), 39. Works in management consultancy and has been a director with PBL and Nine Entertainment. TIGHT 1.5%
Eden-Monaro Mike Kelly (ALP) since 2007. Minister for Defence Materiel. Former Colonel in the Australian Defence Force.
Peter Hendy (Lib) has worked in business and economics. Was advisor to Liberal Deputy Leader Julie Bishop. TIGHT 4.2%
Page Janelle Safin (ALP) since 2007. Human rights lawyer who worked as an advisor to East Timor president Jose Ramos Horta.
Kevin Hogan (Nat), 49. Teacher and owner of superannuation consultancy. TIGHT 4.2%
Parramatta Julie Owens (ALP) since 2004. Worked in arts management and production.
Martin Zaiter (Lib), 29. Works as a chartered accountant. TIGHT 4.4%
Reid John Murphy (ALP), 63, since 2010. Former Drummoyne Councillor and lawyer.
Craig Laundy (Lib) works for the family hotel business. TIGHT 2.7%
Barton Robert McClelland (ALP) retiring
Nickolas Varvaris Steve McMahon (ALP) 6.9%
Charlton Greg Combet (ALP) retiring
Kevin Baker (Lib) Pat Conroy (ALP) 12.7%
Hume Alby Schultz (Lib) retiring Michael Pilbrow (Country Labor)
Angus Taylor (Lib) 8.7%
New England Tony Windsor (Ind) retiring Barnaby Joyce (Nat) Stephen Hewitt (ALP)
Barnaby Joyce 21.5%
Newcastle Sharon Grierson (ALP) retiring
Jaimie Abbott (Lib) Sharon Claydon (ALP) 12.5%
Gilmore Joanna Gash (Lib) retiring
Ann Sudmalis (Lib) Neil Reilly (ALP)
Marginal 5.3%
Grayndler Anthony Albanese (ALP)
Cedric Spencer (Lib) Marginal 4.2%
Hughes Craig Kelly (Lib)
Alison Megarrity (ALP) Marginal 5.2%
Kingsford Smith Peter Garratt (ALP) retiring Matt Thistlethwaite (ALP) Michael Feneley (Lib)
Marginal 5.2%
Lyne Rob Oakeshott (Ind) retiring David Gillespie (Nat) Peter Alley (ALP)
Marginal 12.7%
Macarthur Russell Matheson (Lib) Ian Fulton (ALP)
Marginal 3%
Macquarie Louise Markus (Lib) Susan Templeman (ALP)
Marginal 1.3%
Paterson Bob Baldwin (Lib) Bay Marshall (ALP)
Marginal 5.3%
Bennelong John Alexander (Lib) Jason Yat-Sen Li (ALP)
Safe 3.1%
Berowra Philip Ruddock (Lib) Michael Stove (ALP)
Safe 16.2%
Blaxland Jason Clare (ALP) Anthony Khouri (Lib)
Safe 12.2%
Bradfield Paul Fletcher (Lib) Chris Haviland (ALP)
Safe 18.2%
Calare John Cobb (Nat) Jess Jennings (ALP)
Safe 10.7%
Chifley Ed Husic (ALP) Isabelle White (Lib)
Safe 12.3%
Cook Scott Morrison (Lib) Peter Scaysbrook (ALP)
Safe 12.7%
Cowper Luke Hartsuyker (Nat) Alfredo Navarro (Country Labor)
Safe 9.3%
Cunningham Sharon Bird (ALP) Philip Clifford (Lib)
Safe 13.2%
Farrer Sussan Ley (Lib) Gavin Hickey (ALP)
Safe 14.5%
Fowler Chris Hayes (ALP) Andrew Nguyen (Lib)
Safe 8.8%
Hunter Joel Fitzgibbon (ALP) Michael Johnson (Nat)
Safe 12.5%
Mackellar Bronwyn Bishop (Lib) Chris Hedge (ALP)
Safe 15.7%
McMahon Chris Bowen (ALP) Ray King (Lib)
Safe 7.8%
Mitchell Alex Hawke (Lib) Andrew Punch (ALP)
Safe 17.2%
North Sydney Joe Hockey (Lib) Peter Hayes (ALP)
 Safe 14.1%
Parkes Mark Coulton (Nat) Brendan Byron (Country Labor)
Safe 18.9%
Richmond Justine Elliot (ALP) Matthew Fraser (Nat)
Safe 7%
Riverina Michael McCormack (Nat)
Tim Kurylowicz (ALP)
Safe 18.2%
Shortland Jill Hall (ALP)
John Church (Lib) Safe 12.9%
Sydney Tanya Plibersek (ALP)
Sean O'Connor (Lib) Safe 17.1%
Throsby Stephen Jones (ALP)
Larissa Mallinson (Lib) Safe 12.2%
Warringah Tony Abbott (Lib)
Jules Zanetti (ALP) Safe 13.1%
Watson Tony Burke (ALP) Ron Delezio (Lib)
Safe 9.1%
Wentworth Malcolm Turnbull (Lib) Di Smith (ALP)
Safe 14.9%
Werriwa Laurie Ferguson (ALP) Kent Johns (Lib)
Safe 6.8%
Brisbane Teresa Gambaro (LNP) since 2010. Was Liberal MP for Petrie from 1996 until her defeat at the 2007 election. Fiona McNamara (ALP) was a teacher before working full time for the Queensland Teachers Union
TIGHT 1.1%
Capricornia Kirsten Livermore (ALP) retiring Michelle Landry (LNP) owns a book-keeping business. Peter Freeleagus (ALP) works in the mining sector and is mayor of Belyando Shire
TIGHT 3.7%
Fisher Peter Slipper (Ind) since 2010. Left LNP to become Speaker but stood down amid sexual harrassment claims.  Mal Brough (LNP) was an MP from 2001-2007. Was involved in the case against Peter Slipper.  William Gissane (ALP) worked in global consulting company now in semi-retirement.
TIGHT 4.1%
Dawson George Christensen (LNP) since 2010. Ran community newspapers and was elected to Mackay City Council.
Bronwyn Taha (ALP). Former restaurant owner and electorate officer for local state MP Jan Jarratt.  TIGHT 2.4%
Forde Bert Van Manen (LNP) since 2010. Has worked in financial services industry. Peter Beattie (ALP). Premier of Queensland from 1998-2007. Labor hopes his candidacy can lift votes in the northern state.
TIGHT 1.6%
Herbert Ewen Jones (LNP) since 2010. Worked as an auctioneer and real estate sales consultant.
Cathy O'Toole (ALP). Small business owner who has also worked in mental health and disability sector.
TIGHT 2.2%
Longman Wyatt Roy (LNP), 23,  since 2010. The youngest person ever elected to the House of Representatives
Michael Caisley (ALP) worked for the Queensland government and the United Voice union.
TIGHT 1.9%
Moreton Graham Perrett (ALP) since 2007. Re-elected at the 2010 elections thanks to Green preferences. Worked for Queensland government as policy advisor.
Malcolm Cole (LNP) former journalist and media advisor to Howard government ministers.
TIGHT 1.1%
Petrie Yvette D'Ath (ALP) since 2007. Currently Parliamentary Secretary for Climate Change, Innovation and Industry.
Luke Howarth (LNP) runs a family pest control business.
TIGHT 2.5%
Fairfax Alex Somylay (LNP) retiring
Elaine Hughes (ALP) Ted O'Brien (LNP) 7%
Hinkler Paul Neville (LNP) retiring
Leanne Donaldson (ALP) Keith Pitt (LNP) 10.4%
Rankin Craig Emerson (ALP) retiring
David Lin (LNP) Jim Chalmers (ALP) 5.4%
Blair Shayne Neumann (ALP)
Teresa Harding (LNP) Marginal 4.2%
Bonner Ross Vasta (LNP) Laura Fraser Hardy (ALP)
Marginal 2.8%
Dickson Peter Dutton (LNP) Michael Gilliver (ALP)
 Marginal 5.1%
Flynn Ken O'Dowd (LNP) Chris Trevor (ALP)
Marginal 3.6%
Leichhardt Warren Entsch (LNP) Billy Gordon (ALP)
Marginal 4.6%
Oxley Bernie Ripoll (ALP) Andrew Nyguen (LNP)
Marginal 5.8%
Bowman Andrew Laming (LNP) Darryl Briskey (ALP)
Safe 10.4%
Fadden Stuart Robert (LNP) Nicole Lessio (ALP)
Safe 14.2%
Griffith Kevin Rudd (ALP) Bill Glasson (LNP)
Safe 8.5%
Groom Ian Macfarlane (LNP) Troy Murray (ALP)
Safe 18.5%
Kennedy Bob Katter (KAP) Noelene Ikin (LNP)
Safe 18.3%
Lilley Wayne Swan (ALP) Rod McGarvie (LNP)
Safe 3.2%
Maranoa Bruce Scott (LNP) Nick Cedric-Thompson (ALP)
Safe 22.9%
McPherson Karen Andrews (LNP) Gail Hislop (ALP)
Safe 10.3%
Moncrieff Steven Ciobo (LNP) Jason Munro (ALP)
Safe 17.5%
Ryan Jane Prentice (LNP) Damien Hamwood (ALP)
Safe 7.2%
Wide Bay Warren Truss (LNP) Lucy Stanton (ALP)
Safe 15.6%
Wright Scott Buchholz (LNP) Sharon Murakami (ALP)
Safe 10.2%
Canberra Gai Brodtmann (ALP) Tom Sefton (Lib)
Safe 9.1%
Fraser Andrew Leigh (ALP) Elizabeth Lee (Lib)
Safe 14.2%
Chisholm Anna Burke (ALP) since 1998. Speaker of the House of Representatives since the resignation of Peter Slipper.
John Ngyuen (Lib) came to Australia as a refugee from Vietnam in 1980. Works as an accountant.
TIGHT 5.8%
Corangamite Darren Cheeseman (ALP) since 2007. Councillor for the City of Ballarat  and was a  union organiser.
Sarah Henderson (Lib) has worked as a lawyer, journalist and business management consultant.
TIGHT 0.3%
Deakin Mike Symon (ALP) since 2007. Worked as an electrician and occupational health and safety representative for the Electrical Trades Union.
Michael Sukkar (Lib) worked as a senior associate for Ashurst Australia
TIGHT 0.6%
La Trobe Laura Smyth (ALP) since 2010. Worked as a corporate and commercial lawyer.
Jason Wood (Lib) former policeman who won the seat in 2004 but lost it in 2010.
TIGHT 1.7%
Melbourne Adam Bandt (Grn) since 2010. Worked as an industrial and public interest lawyer. Currently Greens Deputy Leader. 
Cath Bowtell (ALP) former ACTU senior industrial officer. Now chief executive at an industry super fund. 
TIGHT 5.9%
Batman Martin Ferguson (ALP) retiring
George Souris (Lib) David Feeney (ALP) 7.8%
Bendigo Steve Gibbons (ALP) retiring
Greg Bickley (Lib) Lisa Chesters 9.4%
Gellibrand Nicola Roxon (ALP) retiring
David McConnell (Lib) Tim Watts (ALP) 24.1%
Hotham Simon Crean (ALP) retiring
Fazal Cader (Lib) Clare O'Neil (ALP) 14%
Lalor Julia Gillard (ALP) retiring
Nihal Samara (Lib) Joanne Ryan (ALP) 22.1%
Mallee John Forrest (Nat) retiring
Lydia Senior (ALP) Andrew Broad (Nat) 23.3%
Scullin Harry Jenkins (ALP) retiring Jag Chugha (Lib) Andrew Giles (ALP) 20.5%
Aston Alan Tudge (Lib)
Rupert Evans (ALP) Marginal 0.7%
Casey Tony Smith (Lib)
Cathy Farrell (ALP) Marginal 1.9%
Dunkley Bruce Billson (Lib)
Sonya Kilkenny (ALP) Marginal 1%
Higgins Kelly O'Dwyer (Lib)
Wesa Chau (ALP) Marginal 5.4%
McMillan Russell Broadbent (Lib)
Anthony Naus (ALP) Marginal 4.2%
Wannon Dan Tehan (Lib)
Michael Barling (ALP) Marginal 5.7%
Ballarat Catherine King (ALP)
John Fitzgibbon (Lib) Safe 11.7%
Bruce Alan Griffin (ALP)
Emanuele Cicchiello (Lib) Safe 7.7%
Calwell Maria Vamvakinou (ALP)
Ali Khan (Lib) Safe 20.1%
Corio Richard Marles (ALP)
Peter Read (Lib)  Safe 13.5%
Flinders Greg Hunt (Lib)
Joshua Sinclair (ALP) Safe 9.1%
Gippsland Darren Chester (Nat)
Jeff McNeill (ALP) Safe 11.5%
Goldstein Andrew Robb (Lib)
Daniel Guttmann (ALP) Safe 6%
Gorton Brendan O'Connor (ALP)
Phil Humphreys Safe 23.6%
Holt Anthony Byrne (ALP)
Ricardo Balancy (Lib) Safe 14%
Indi Sophie Mirabella (Lib)
Robyn Walsh (ALP) Safe 9%
Isaacs Mark Dreyfus (ALP) 
Garry Spencer (Lib) Safe 10.4%
Jagajaga Jenny Macklin (ALP)
Nick McGowan (Lib) Safe 11.1%
Kooyong Josh Frydenberg (Lib)
John Kennedy (ALP) Safe 7.5%
Maribyrnong Bill Shorten (ALP)
Ted Hatzakortzian (Lib) Safe 17.5%
McEwen Rob Mitchell (ALP) 
Donna Petrovich (Lib) Safe 9.2%
Melbourne Ports Michael Danby (ALP)
Kevin Ekendahl (Lib) Safe 7.9%
Menzies Kevin Andrews (Lib)
Manoj Kumar (ALP) Safe 8.7%
Murray Sharman Stone (Lib)
Rod Higgins (ALP) Safe 19.6%
Wills Kelvin Thomson (ALP)
Shilpa Hegde (Lib) Safe 23.5%
Western Australia      
Brand Gary Gray (ALP) since 2007. Minister for Resources and Energy, Minister for Tourism, Minister for Small Business.
Donna Gordin (Lib) runs her own real estate business. TIGHT 3.3%
Durack Barry Haase (Lib) retiring
Daron Keogh (ALP) Melissa Price (Lib) 13.7%
Moore Mal Washer (Lib) retiring
Jason Lawrance (ALP) Ian Goodenough (Lib) 11.2%
O'Connor Tony Crook (Nat) retiring Michael Salt (ALP)
Chub Witham (Nat) 23%
Pearce Judi Moylan (Lib) retiring Madeleine West (ALP) Christian Porter (Lib) 8.9%
Perth Stephen Smith (ALP) retiring
Darryl Moore (Lib) Alannah MacTiernan (ALP) 5.9%
Canning Don Randall (Lib)
Joanne Dean (ALP) Marginal 2.2%
Fremantle Melissa Parke (ALP)
Matthew Hanssen (Lib) Marginal 5.7%
Hasluck Ken Wyatt (Lib)
Adrian Evans (ALP) Marginal 0.6%
Stirling Michael Keenan (Lib)
Dan Caddy (ALP) Marginal 5.6%
Swan Steve Irons (Lib)
John Bissett (ALP) Marginal 2.5%
Cowan Luke Simpkins (Lib)
Tristan Cockman (ALP) Safe 6.3%
Curtin Julie Bishop (Lib)
Daryl Tan (ALP) Safe 16.2%
Forrest Nola Marino (Lib)
John Borlini (ALP) Safe 8.7%
Tangney Dennis Jensen (Lib)
Luke Willis (ALP) Safe 12.3%
South Australia      
Barker Patrick Secker (Lib) beaten in preselection ballot
Phil Golding (ALP) Tony Pasin (Lib) 13%
Boothby Andrew Southcott  (Lib)
Annabel Digance (ALP) Marginal 0.6%
Sturt Christopher Pyne (Lib)
Rick Sarre (ALP) Marginal 3.6%
Adelaide Kate Ellis (ALP)
Carmen Garcia (Lib) Safe 7.5%
Grey Rowan Ramsey (Lib)
Ben Browne (ALP) Safe 11.2%
Hindmarsh Steve Georganas (ALP) Steve Georganos (Lib)
Safe 6.1%
Kingston Amanda Rishworth (ALP)
Damien Mills (Lib) Safe 14.6%
Makin Tony Zappia (ALP)
Sue Lawrie (Lib) Safe 12%
Mayo Jamie Briggs (Lib)
Norah Fahy (ALP) Safe 7.3%
Port Adelaide Mark Butler (ALP)
Nigel McKenna (Lib) Safe 20.9%
Wakefield Nick Champion (ALP) Tom Zorich (Lib)
Safe 10.5%
Bass Geoff Lyons (ALP) since 2010. previously worked for Tasmanian Attorney General.
Andrew Nikolic (Lib) served in the Australian Army. Was employed as a First Assistant Secretary in the Department of Defence
TIGHT 6.7%
Braddon Sid Sidebottom (ALP)
Brett Whiteley (Lib) TIGHT 7.5%
Denison  Andrew Wilkie (Ind)
Jane Austin (ALP) Marginal 1.2%
Franklin Julie Collins (ALP)
Bernadette Black (Lib) Safe 10.8%
Lyons Dick Adams (ALP)
Eric Hutchinson (Lib) Safe 12.3%
Northern Territory      
Lingiari Warren Snowdon (ALP) since 2001. Minister for Indigenous Health, Minister for Veterans' Affairs, Minister for Defence Science and Personnel, Minister Assisting for the Centenary of ANZAC
Tina MacFarlane (Country Liberals)  a cattle station just outside Mataranka.
TIGHT 3.7%
Solomon Natasha Griggs (CLP)
Luke Gosling (ALP)
Marginal 1.8%