Labor’s strong showing in opinion polls is deceptive because it depends very much on Greens preferences, and the situation is also complicated by recent changes to electoral boundaries in Victoria, writes Denis Muller

A nationally representitive survey has found Australian politicians are failing to engage or build a sense of trust with voters just months out from the federal election.
Aaron Martin

Psephologist Adrian Beaumont analyses this week's Morgan poll, and explains what it means for Victoria. His verdict? While polling to date has been sparse, Labor is tracking as the clear favourite.

Australians voted in a very different federal election 100 years ago: the two-party system was yet to dominate and there weren't any opinion polls.

John Murphy

The polls are showing a huge lead for Labor - in no small way courtesy of growing Greens momentum - as the campaign for Spring Street gets serious, Denis Muller writes.

"I'm Instagraming, I'm Tweeting, I'm eating with Keating..."
Melbourne University
Law Review

 

In that other race Labor - which started as the odds-on favorite - is way out in front with four weeks to go. Psephologist Adrian Beaumont mines the data in six major polls of the campaign.

What the major opinion polls tell us up to the start of campaigning. 
Adrian Beaumont

Vote Compass Victoria is now available online: Your in-depth tool to navigating the issues, the parties, and the policies that matter to you. Election Watch is a partner in the project with the ABC.

Opinion polls suggest support for Labor has plateaued and is subsiding slightly.
Dr Denis Muller

A rev-up in campaigning has failed to have a big impact on voters, with the latest polls showing Labor still holding a commanding lead. Denis Muller and Adrian Beaumont look at the numbers.

The opinion polls continue to look bad for Labor, but are the right questions being asked? 
Dr Denis Muller

The majority of Victorians support same-sex adoption, more TAFE funding, and the right to wear the burqa. They also want the East West Link built, Vote Compass results show.

It's been a busy and complex week of polling, with data at the national, state and individual-seat level. Here we try to disentangle them.
Dr Denis Muller

There was no escaping the opinion polls this election, with the Victorian electorate's decision to get rid of the inert Baillieu-Napthine Government flagged as early as June, writes Denis Muller.

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