Elections are won or lost in marginal seats. This analysis examines the electorates that will decide who reigns supreme on September 7th.
Dr Scott Brenton. 

Despite some claims of bias, the opinion polls were largely an accurate predictor of the election result.
Dr Denis Muller

On the eve of the poll that matters, Dave McRae reflects on the campaign and attitudes of Indonesian voters as they head to the ballot box.

Sofyan Syamsul, a photographer in South Sulawesi, shares snapshots at the #pemilu2014 polls from the city of Makassar, East Indonesia.

 

Initial poll results from Indonesia have people questioning the 'Jokowi Effect', writes Dave McRae.

With the result too close to call, it's is all down to the momentum the rival candidates can summon up in the home stretch. Lily Yulianti Farid summarises the latest polls.

On election day, Dave McRae reflects on the twists and turns of a campaign that defied all expectations, and contemplates the future - whatever the result.

Photo: Getty 

Labor’s strong showing in opinion polls is deceptive because it depends very much on Greens preferences, and the situation is also complicated by recent changes to electoral boundaries in Victoria, writes Denis Muller

A nationally representitive survey has found Australian politicians are failing to engage or build a sense of trust with voters just months out from the federal election.
Aaron Martin

Psephologist Adrian Beaumont analyses this week's Morgan poll, and explains what it means for Victoria. His verdict? While polling to date has been sparse, Labor is tracking as the clear favourite.

Australians voted in a very different federal election 100 years ago: the two-party system was yet to dominate and there weren't any opinion polls.

John Murphy

The polls are showing a huge lead for Labor - in no small way courtesy of growing Greens momentum - as the campaign for Spring Street gets serious, Denis Muller writes.

"I'm Instagraming, I'm Tweeting, I'm eating with Keating..."
Melbourne University
Law Review

 

In that other race Labor - which started as the odds-on favorite - is way out in front with four weeks to go. Psephologist Adrian Beaumont mines the data in six major polls of the campaign.

What the major opinion polls tell us up to the start of campaigning. 
Adrian Beaumont

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